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Home Background Publications Definitions Capacity Biblio. Queueing Biblio.

 

General Definitions

Industrial Engineering
"The branch of engineering that is concerned with the efficient production of industrial goods as affected by elements such as plant and procedural design, the management of materials and energy, and the integration of workers within the overall system" -- The American Heritage Dictionary of the English Language, Third Edition. Industrial engineers try to make systems run more efficiently.
Operations Research
"The use of quantitative models to analyze and predict the behavior of systems that are influenced by human decisions" -- Introduction to Operations Research, by J.G. Ecker and M. Kupferschmid, John Wiley & Sons, 1988. Operations research tools are frequently used by industrial engineers, and include queueing and simulation models.
Queueing Model
A mathematical representation of a system characterized by customers (or jobs) waiting in a queue for service. Queue is the British term for a waiting line (e.g., 'we waited in the queue at the post office for 20 minutes today.'). Queueing models can be used to estimate the long term performance of manufacturing or communication systems, without employing full-scale simulation models.
Simulation
"The process of designing a model of a real system and conducting experiments with this model for the purpose of understanding the behavior of the system and/or evaluating various strategies for the operation of the system" -- Introduction to Simulation Using SIMAN, by C. D. Pegden, R. E. Shannon and R. P. Sadowski, McGraw-Hill, 1990. A simulation model is a representation of a real system.
Semiconductors
"Elements in the periodic table that have the property of high conductivity at high temperatures and nearly zero conductivity (property of an insulator) at low termperatures. The most prominent of these semiconductor materials are silicon and germanium, which are located in the fourth column of the periodic table" -- The Microprocessor: A Biography, by Michael S. Malone, Springer-Verlag, 1996/. For more details (in non-technical form) see the Lexicon of Semiconductor Terms provided by Harris.
Wafer Fabrication
A wafer is a piece of silicon used to fabricate semiconductor chips. Wafer fabrication is a complex process by which circuits are layered onto silicon wafers through several repeated sequences of operations. When completed and tested, wafers are broken down into individual chips.
Capacity Planning
Capacity planning, in its broadest sense, encompasses all decisions about what products a company can and should produce, and what facilities will be required to produce them. Due to the tremendous capital burden carried by semiconductor manufacturers, these decisions often prove to be pivotal. Semiconductor capacity planning includes long-range business decisions and shorter-term more tactical decisions.

Queueing Models for Manufacturing

Semiconductor wafer fabrication facilities (fabs) are extremely complex and expensive systems, and are the heart of a highly profitable sector of the economy. Managing them, and understanding their dynamics, is a challenging endeavor. This is because the factory environment, in addition to being complex, is highly variable. There are often many products, each of which has several hundred processing steps, with dozens of different kinds of processing equipment. The industry also suffers from notoriously unreliable equipment, and frequent product mix changes.

A particular problem for semiconductor manufacturers is planning capacity in this unreliable environment. Static models are commonly used (primarily spreadsheets). A typical spreadsheet model calculates either the maximum amount that a fab can produce for a given mix and toolset, or the correct toolset that will produce a pre-specified mix and volume. Spreadsheet models generally include historical loss factors to account for time that the equipment is unavailable due to failures, setups, operator delays, rework, and other capacity loss factors. However, these loss factors often become inaccurate when the product mix changes. Also, static models do not include dynamic elements such as resource contention, and cannot predict cycle times or work-in-process.

Simulation models are sometimes used as a parallel effort to estimate cycle times. However, these estimates are not often integrated directly into the capacity planning process. This is a problem, because cycle time is often the most important performance measure for a fab. Also, because the simulation models are large and detailed, they typically require long run times (on the order of an hour per replication for a long simulation of a large fab). This discourages their use for what-if analysis and optimization schemes.

Queueing models offer a potential compromise between spreadsheets and simulation. Because they yield analytical solutions, they are typically much faster than simulation models (on the order of 2 minutes to analyze a large fab). They also capture some of the dynamic elements missing from spreadsheet models. My research is in understanding the applicability of queueing models to semiconductor fabs, and developing improved models in certain areas.

Integrated Simulation, Capacity and Cost Modeling

"Cost analysis is often treated as a separate task from capacity and simulation modeling activities. Several important factory-level cost performance measures, however, rely on detailed capacity analysis calculations. In fact, much of the difficult groundwork for making these calculations has already been completed in existing capacity and simulation analysis tools. Frank Chance and I (in an article for the WWK newsletter) argue that these activities fit quite naturally together, and give a more complete picture of factory performance than isolated analyses. Also, capacity and simulation analysis tools are increasingly used to support strategic and tactical business decisions. These decisions are most often framed in terms of their impact on the bottom line. Therefore, effective decision-support tools must speak not only in terms of capacity and cycle time, but also in terms of dollars. We believe that making decisions in an integrated cost, capacity, and simulation analysis framework offers several advantages over isolated analyses."

 

Understanding and Improving Capacity for Semiconductor Facilities.

"Planning capacity accurately is critical in today's highly competitive semiconductor industry. Equipment and facility costs are rising, integrated circuit technologies are changing rapidly, and customers are demanding ever faster chips. And they want them delivered on time, at lower costs. With most equipment costing several million dollars each, capacity planning decisions have an immediate impact on the bottom line. Understanding capacity is critical to maintaining profitability over time. Miscalculation of a fab's capacity results in serious penalties. If a factory is planned at a lower level than its actual capacity, the result is lost revenues, increased cost of goods sold, and a potential for market share loss. On the other hand, significant negative consequences can stem from overloading a factory. These outcomes include long cycle times, missed delivery dates, excessive inventory, and possibly lower yields."

 
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